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Scope 3 Carbon Maturity Depends on Transparency, Not Perfect Data

Published on October 9, 2026 Chris Winchurch, General Manager of Novisto Carbon

Scope 3 emissions depend heavily on information companies don’t control, making inconsistencies, estimates, and assumptions unavoidable. Chris Winchurch, General Manager of Novisto Carbon, explains why mature programs focus on understanding those limitations, improving the data that informs decisions, and building processes that strengthen with each reporting cycle.

Scope 3 presents companies with a difficult data problem: they must account for emissions and their carbon footprint associated with purchased materials, suppliers, and other activities across a value chain they don’t directly control, using information they often don’t own. Data availability, quality, and methodology can vary considerably from one supplier to another and across categories.

A T-shirt manufacturer, for example, could obtain emissions data from a textile supplier covering the energy used in its facilities and fuel consumed by its vehicles. But tracing the emissions tied to the cotton, dyes, packaging, and shipping services the supplier purchases takes the manufacturer another step further into the value chain, where reliable primary data becomes progressively harder to obtain.

Yet companies have growing reasons to pursue it. In some markets, such as the European Union, companies are already facing or preparing for Scope 3 reporting requirements. Even when disclosure is not directly mandated, requests can come through customer relationships, investor expectations, and decarbonization goals.

The challenge lies in determining how much of that information can realistically be collected through the value chain, what level of uncertainty is acceptable, and how reliable it will be. PwC’s 2026 State of Decarbonization report found that 25% of companies analyzed lack visibility beyond tier 1 suppliers, 58% report only partial visibility into tier 2 suppliers, and just 18% consistently track supplier activities and emissions beyond tier 1. The resulting Scope 3 inventory inevitably combines information of varying quality, from supplier-specific primary data to estimates based on broader assumptions.

Waiting for perfect data, however, isn’t the answer, nor does it define Scope 3 maturity. A mature program is better judged by how transparently and consistently a company manages that uncertainty, and how systematically it improves the quality of the information over time. Companies must know where the information came from, what assumptions were made, how the emissions calculation works, and where better information could change a business decision.

Building that level of transparency and consistency requires attention to these five areas:

1. Prioritize the data that can inform important decisions

In many businesses, the number of suppliers, inputs, and estimates required to calculate Scope 3 emissions can add up quickly. Gaps in the data are therefore likely, but part of Scope 3 maturity is recognizing that not every input is equally critical.

If purchased materials are the largest source of value-chain emissions for a textile manufacturer, it might prioritize information on cotton, dyes, or packaging. That could mean asking key suppliers for primary emissions data, replacing broad spend-based estimates with activity-based calculations, or separating one material or supplier from a category average. If transportation is a major contributor, it could examine the routes, carriers, or modes that drive the largest share of emissions.

Prioritization also helps determine how far into the supply chain to pursue more specific information and where estimates remain reasonable. Some gaps mainly affect disclosure completeness while others can influence sourcing, product design, logistics, or decarbonization priorities. The intended use of the data should ultimately determine where greater precision is most valuable.

2. Understand the provenance behind the numbers

Not every Scope 3 data point has the same provenance or degree of certainty. A figure provided directly by a supplier differs from a calculation based on purchase volumes, which in turn differs from an estimate based on industry averages.

A mature program records those differences and makes them visible, while recognizing that even supplier-specific information may need to be checked for completeness and consistency. Knowing the source and limitations of each input allows companies to decide where estimates are sufficient, where better data is needed, and how much confidence to place in the resulting emissions figures.

3. Make calculation methods transparent and defensible

A Scope 3 calculation isn’t one universal equation. The same purchase, material, or activity can yield different emissions estimates depending on the methodology used.

For the textile manufacturer, the calculation may start with kilograms of cotton purchased, dollars spent on dyes or packaging, or the distance materials traveled. Each approach applies a different basis for translating that activity into an emissions estimate. Where quantity or activity data is available, the calculation can reflect the physical activity itself; where only purchasing data exists, companies may need to rely on spend-based estimates.

Transparency around methodology is important because a more expensive, lower-impact material could appear to have higher emissions than a cheaper, higher-impact alternative when the calculation prioritizes cost over the product’s true environmental profile.

Spend-based calculations are not inherently bad. They can be useful when more specific information is unavailable, especially for identifying areas that deserve closer review. But because they are based on cost, they shouldn’t be treated as definitive evidence for decisions about specific suppliers, materials, or products without additional information.

4. Establish ownership across the organization

Technology can centralize Scope 3 data, calculations, evidence, and assumptions, but it can’t resolve questions of ownership and accountability. Those become especially important when the information needed to calculate emissions sits across multiple people, functions, and external partners.

Scope 3 spans supplier relationships, purchasing records, methodologies, and operations, so responsibility rarely sits with a single team. A mature program defines who manages supplier requests, reviews methodology and evidence, checks whether records are consistent, and decides when an estimate needs to be replaced. Clear ownership makes those decisions repeatable and ensures that gaps, assumptions, and changes in methodology don’t disappear between reporting cycles.

5. Build continuity from one cycle to the next

After a company calculates its Scope 3 emissions for the year, the next cycle should build on what it has already learned. For the textile manufacturer, that might mean knowing that cotton purchases are now supported by supplier data, that dyes still rely on a spend-based method, and that freight emissions have changed because of a new carrier or route.

That continuity is an important measure of Scope 3 maturity. Some companies may still be determining which categories matter most and where their estimates are weakest. Others will have clearer ownership, stronger supplier input, and established processes for identifying where data quality needs improvement.

A useful benchmark is how much of the process has become repeatable. If each reporting cycle still requires teams to chase the same suppliers, reconstruct old assumptions, or figure out who owns what, the organization is effectively starting from scratch each year.

As those practices become established, teams can focus more effectively on supplier engagement, sourcing changes, and emissions-reduction efforts. Over time, Scope 3 data becomes useful beyond the reporting cycle, providing the business with better information to evaluate costs, risks, and operational priorities.

Perfect Scope 3 data is unlikely to be a realistic endpoint, particularly when so much of the information sits outside a company’s direct control. Maturity comes from knowing where the gaps and assumptions are, improving the information that can materially affect decisions, and building a process that becomes stronger with each reporting cycle. That is what turns Scope 3 from an annual accounting exercise into information companies can use to manage suppliers, assess risk, set priorities, and make better decisions.

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Chris Winchurch - General Manager, Novisto Carbon

Chris Winchurch is General Manager of Novisto Carbon, following Novisto's 2026 acquisition of Minimum. He leads strategy and execution for Novisto's carbon offering.

Chris joined Novisto as founder and CEO of Minimum (Y Combinator S20), which he built from 2020 into an enterprise carbon-accounting platform serving around 50 large customers worldwide, including Volkswagen, Nasdaq, Games Workshop and Colt.

Before founding Minimum, Chris was a consultant at Boston Consulting Group and began an MBA at Harvard Business School before leaving to start the company. He holds an MEng in Electrical & Electronic Engineering from Imperial College London and is based in London.

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